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   COVER STORY
  
UK Polls:

Great Expectations on the New Coalition

David Cameron becomes the Youngest Prime Minister in 200 years  

By G. Kalyan Kumar                         

“I want to make a big, open and comprehensive offer to the Liberal Democrats. I want to work together with them in tackling our country’s big and urgent problems — the debt crisis, our deep social problems and our broken political system” -- David Cameron

 


The defeat of Gordon Brown led Labour party in British general elections and victory of Tories who stitched a coalition with Liberal Democrats to share power made David Cameron UK’s new Prime Minister.

The Tory party had been leading the opinion polls for nearly three years. When Britain finally went to the polls on 6 May 2010, the election ended in a hung parliament with the Tories winning most of the seats (306) but short of 20 seats for an overall majority. Tories had a net gain of 97 lawmakers from the previous election in 2005. This time Conservatives took 36.1 percent of the popular vote, compared with 29 percent for Labour and 23 percent for the Liberal Democrats.

The Conservative Party descended from the old Tory Party, founded in 1678, and is still often referred to as the Tory Party and its politicians, members and supporters as Tories. The Conservative Party was in government for two-thirds of the 20th century.

The United Kingdom — made up of England, Scotland, Wales and Northern Ireland — has not had a hung Parliament, or minority government, since 1974. In the past, the sitting prime minister has been given the first chance to try to form a government — even if his party did not win the largest number of seats.

Coalition

Agreements were reached between the Liberal Democrats and the Conservative Party on May 11, 2010. The two sides found a common ground to work on--- deficit reduction and speedy economic recovery. Consequently, David Cameron became the new UK Prime minister.

“I want to make a big, open and comprehensive offer to the Liberal Democrats. I want to work together with them in tackling our country’s big and urgent problems — the debt crisis, our deep social problems and our broken political system”, Cameron said explaining the rationale of the coalition.

Cameron acknowledged there are policy disagreements between the Tories and the Liberal Democrats. He suggested the Tories would promise to implement parts of the Liberal Democrats’ election manifesto — but stopped short of offering to fulfil their demand for an overhaul of Britain’s electoral system. “Inevitably, the negotiations we’re about to start will involve compromise,” Cameron said.

“That is what working together in the national interest means.”

Britain is facing many challenges-the budget deficit is at 12.8 percent of gross domestic product (GDP), near Greek levels, while the decline of North Sea oil and gas has left the country in increasing dependency on Gazprom, the Russian gas supplier.

Emerging Pattern

It is clear that the European Left is at cross roads. From June 2009 centre-right parties swept to victory in the European Union’s six biggest countries - France, Germany, Italy, Poland, Spain and the UK. The Social Democrats’ in Germany were handed out a crushing defeat in September’s German election: the SPD took a mere 23 per cent of the vote, the worst in the Federal Republic’s 60- year history. Hungary’s ruling socialists were decimated in April in an election that saw the triumph of the centre-right Fidesz party and a strong performance by the ultra-right Jobbik party. During this period, in Italy, the centre-left almost dropped out of sight in spite of Silvio Berlusconi’s difficulties as premier.

In Spain, the socialist government is facing troubled times as Europe’s sovereign debt crisis is spreading across the Mediterranean like a Gulf of Mexico oil slick. Though one may cite the French left doing well in regional elections in March, but regional polls are no barometer of national mood unlike parliamentary and presidential elections in France.

Fragmentation

According to an analyst “This weakening of the moderate left will have massive repercussions for political processes, institutions and culture on the continent. Among others, it heralds fragmentation in European party systems, complicating and drawing out coalition-building and making continuity of governance more difficult.”

The past year’s election results show that European citizens are reposing more faith in centre-right parties than those of the centre-left in a severe economic crisis.

This is all the more true when centreright politicians make clear, as they have done in Germany will shelter citizens from the worst effects of the crisis by protecting their jobs and welfare entitlements.

Only in the erstwhile Eastern Europe, the centre-left is ascendant. In the Czech and Slovak election campaigns the centre-left is ahead in many polls. A month before the June 9 parliamentary election in the Netherlands, the Labor party is neck and neck or slightly ahead of the moderate right-wing VVD party. The far-right, anti-Islamic Freedom party of Geert Wilders is trailing in fourth place. The socialist Pasok party won a convincing election victory last October in Greece. The drastic austerity measures contained in Pasok’s IMF-eurozone plan to avoid national bankruptcy can also serve as a strong advertisement for socialism.

 

COALITION PACT–CONSERVATIVES AND LIBERAL DEMOCRATS

The Following Agreement was reached between the Liberal Democrats and the Conservative Party on May 11, 2010. A final Coalition Agreement is to follow covering the full range of policy including foreign, defence and domestic policy issues. The agreement reflects the alliance as issue-based and not a mere understanding for power-sharing.

The parties agree that a plan for deficit reduction should be set out in an emergency budget within 50 days of the signing of any agreement; the parties note that the credibility of a plan on deficit reduction depends on its long-term deliverability, not just the depth of immediate cuts. New forecasts of growth and borrowing should be made by an independent Office for Budget Responsibility for this emergency budget.

Modest Cuts

The parties agree that modest cuts of £6 billion to non-front line services can be made within the financial year 2010-11, subject to advice from the Treasury and the Bank of England on their feasibility and advisability. Some proportion of these savings can be used to support jobs, for example through the cancelling of some backdated demands for business rates. Other policies upon which we are agreed will further support job creation and green investment, such as work programmes for the unemployed and a green deal for energy efficiency investment.

The parties commit to holding a full Strategic Security and Defence Review alongside the Spending Review with strong involvement of the Treasury. The Government will be committed to the maintenance of Britain’s nuclear deterrent, and have agreed that the renewal of Trident should be scrutinised to ensure value for money. Liberal Democrats will continue to make the case for alternatives. We will immediately play a strong role in the Nuclear Non- Proliferation Treaty Review Conference, and press for continued progress on multilateral disarmament.

The parties commit to establishing an independent commission to review the long term affordability of public sector pensions, while protecting accrued rights. We will restore the earnings link for the basic state pension from April 2011 with a “triple guarantee” that pensions are raised by the higher of earnings, prices or 2.5%, as proposed by the Liberal Democrats.

Tax

The parties agree that the personal allowance for income tax should be increased in order to help lower and middle income earners. We agree to announce in the first Budget a substantial increase in the personal allowance from April 2011, with the benefits focused on those with lower and middle incomes.

This will be funded with the money that would have been used to pay for the increase in Employee National Insurance thresholds proposed by the Conservatives, as well as revenues from increases in Capital Gains Tax rates for non-business assets as described below.

The increase in Employer National Insurance thresholds proposed by the Conservatives will go ahead in order to stop Labour’s jobs tax. We also agree to a longer term policy objective of further increasing the personal allowance to £10,000, making further real terms steps each year towards this objective.

We agree that this should take priority over other tax cuts, including cuts to Inheritance Tax. We also agree that provision will be made for Liberal Democrat MPs to abstain on budget resolutions to introduce transferable tax allowances for married couples without prejudice to this coalition agreement.

The parties agree that a switch should be made to a per-plane, rather than per-passenger duty; a proportion of any increased revenues over time will be used to help fund increases in the personal allowance.

We further agree to seek a detailed agreement on taxing non-business capital gains at rates similar or close to those applied to income, with generous exemptions for entrepreneurial business activities.

The parties agree that tackling tax avoidance is essential for the new government, and that all efforts will be made to do so, including detailed development of Liberal Democrat proposals.

The parties agree that reform to the banking system is essential to avoid a repeat of Labour’s financial crisis, to promote a competitive economy, to sustain the recovery and to protect and sustain jobs. We agree that a banking levy will be introduced. We will seek a detailed agreement on implementation.

We agree to bring forward detailed proposals for robust action to tackle unacceptable bonuses in the financial services sector; in developing these proposals, we will ensure they are effective in reducing risk.

We agree to bring forward detailed proposals to foster diversity, promote mutuals and create a more competitive banking industry.

SMEs

We agree that ensuring the flow of credit to viable SMEs is essential for supporting growth and should be a core priority for a new government, and we will work together to develop effective proposals to do so. This will include consideration of both a major loan guarantee scheme and the use of net lending targets for the nationalised banks.

The parties wish to reduce systemic risk in the banking system and will establish an independent commission to investigate the complex issue of separating retail and investment banking in a sustainable way; while recognising that this would take time to get right, the commission will be given an initial time frame of one year to report.

The parties agree that the regulatory system needs reform to avoid a repeat of Labour’s financial crisis. We agree to bring forward proposals to give the Bank of England control of macro-prudential regulation and oversight of microprudential regulation.

The parties also agree to rule out joining the European Single Currency during the duration of this agreement.

We have agreed that there should be an annual limit on the number of non-EU economic migrants admitted into the UK to live and work. We will consider jointly the mechanism for implementing the limit. We will end the detention of children for immigration purposes.

The parties agree to the establishment of five year fixed-term parliaments. A Conservative-Liberal Democrat coalition government will put a binding motion before the House of Commons in the first days following this agreement stating that the next general election will be held on the first Thursday of May 2015. Following this motion, legislation will be brought forward to make provision for fixed term parliaments of five years. This legislation will also provide for dissolution if 55 percent or more of the House votes in favour.

Electoral Reform

The parties will bring forward a Referendum Bill on electoral reform, which includes provision for the introduction of the Alternative Vote in the event of a positive result in the referendum, as well as for the creation of fewer and more equal sized constituencies. Both parties will whip their Parliamentary Parties in both Houses to support a simple majority referendum on the Alternative Vote, without prejudice to the positions parties will take during such a referendum.

The parties will bring forward early legislation to introduce a power of recall, allowing voters to force a by-election where an MP was found to have engaged in serious wrongdoing and having had a petition calling for a by-election signed by 10 percent of his or her constituents.

We agree to establish a committee to bring forward proposals for a wholly or mainly elected upper chamber on the basis of proportional representation. The committee will come forward with a draft motions by December 2010. It is likely that this bill will advocate single long terms of office. It is also likely there will be a grandfathering system for current Peers. In the interim, Lords appointments will be made with the objective of creating a second chamber reflective of the share of the vote secured by the political parties in the last general election.

The parties will bring forward the proposals of the Wright Committee for reform to the House of Commons in full – starting with the proposed committee for management of programmed business and including government business within its scope by the third year of the Parliament.

The parties agree to reduce electoral fraud by speeding up the implementation of individual voter registration. We have agreed to establish a commission to consider the ‘West Lothian question’. The parties agree to the implementation of the Calman Commission proposals and the offer of a referendum on further Welsh devolution.

The parties will tackle lobbying through introducing a statutory register of lobbyists. We also agree to pursue a detailed agreement on limiting donations and reforming party funding in order to remove big money from politics. The parties will promote the radical devolution of power and greater financial autonomy to local government and community groups. This will include a full review of local government finance.

The parties agree to phase out the default retirement age and hold a review to set the date at which the state pension age starts to rise to 66, although it will not be sooner than 2016 for men and 2020 for women. We agree to end the rules requiring compulsory annuitisation at 75.

The parties also agreed to realign contracts with welfare to work service providers to reflect more closely the results they achieve in getting people back into work. We agree that the funding mechanism used by government to finance welfare to work programmes should be reformed to reflect the fact that initial investment delivers later savings in lower benefit expenditure.

We agree that receipt of benefits for those able to work should be conditional on the willingness to work. We agree to promote the reform of schools in order to ensure: that new providers can enter the state school system in response to parental demand; that all schools have greater freedom over curriculum; and that all schools are held properly accountable.

Higher education

The parties will await Lord Browne’s final report into higher education funding, and will judge its proposals against the need to: increase social mobility; take into account the impact on student debt; ensure a properly funded university sector; improve the quality of teaching; advance scholarship; and, attract a higher proportion of students from disadvantaged backgrounds.

If the response of the Government to Lord Browne’s report is one that Liberal Democrats cannot accept, then arrangements will be made to enable Liberal Democrat MPs to abstain in any vote.

EU

We agree that the British Government will be a positive participant in the European Union, playing a strong and positive role with our partners, with the goal of ensuring that all the nations of Europe are equipped to face the challenges of the 21st century: global competitiveness, global warming and global poverty.

We agree that there should be no further transfer of sovereignty or powers over the course of the next Parliament. We will examine the balance of the EU’s existing competences and will, in particular, work to limit the application of the Working Time Directive in the United Kingdom.

We agree that we will amend the 1972 European Communities Act so that any proposed future Treaty that transferred areas of power, or competences, would be subject to a referendum on that Treaty – a ‘referendum lock’. We will amend the 1972 European Communities Act so that the use of any passerelle would require primary legislation.

Sovereignty Bill

We will examine the case for a United Kingdom Sovereignty Bill to make it clear that ultimate authority remains with Parliament. We agree that Britain will not join or prepare to join the Euro in this Parliament. We agree that we will strongly defend the UK’s national interests in the forthcoming EU budget negotiations and that the EU budget should only focus on those areas where the EU can add value.

We agree that we will press for the European Parliament only to have one seat, in Brussels. We agree that we will approach forthcoming legislation in the area of criminal justice on a case by case basis, with a view to maximising our country’s security, protecting Britain’s civil liberties and preserving the integrity of our criminal justice system. Britain will not participate in the establishment of any European Public Prosecutor.

Civil Liberties

The parties agree to implement a full programme of measures to reverse the substantial erosion of civil liberties under the Labour Government and roll back state intrusion.

 

 

           

 

 
 
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